Thursday , September 16 2021

“There will be a government”: reality until August 5 or impossible equation – Elections 2021

"There will be a government": reality by 5 August or impossible equation

© Julia Lazarova

All political forces (as well as the President and the caretaker Prime Minister) have stated again that they want a regular government and no recent elections, but even after the first working day of the 46th National Assembly it is difficult. which confirms that it will succeed. to choose a cabinet. For now, all predictions and discussions about whether and how it is possible are related to the first term that “There is such a people” will receive. And all interest is focused on the upcoming talks between Slavi Trifonov’s party and those of the protest, as well as whether there will be a discussion with the BSP, as the three formations collect 112 votes. and will need more support with a regular quorum in plenary.

In the coming days and consultations with parliamentary groups under the President, followed by a date for the first term. It is possible that this will be as early as next week or at the beginning of the one starting on 2 August. It is expected in these consultations a date for the autumn presidential election should also be discussed. Meanwhile, on the first working day of parliament, it became clear that deputies would probably not have a summer holiday (on the idea of ​​the old new chair Yes Miteva), and 9 bills were submitted to the office.

You get an invitation from “There are people like that”, or the most anticipated conversations

At the end of the day (July 21), Dnevnik confirmed through sources requesting anonymity that to have an official discussion on Thursday when and in what format “There are people like this” talks start with the other parties. The information that the invitations themselves have already been sent by Slavi Trifonov’s party and that they have no official comment and confirmation. Other protest parties said they were expected because requests for dialogue were made on the first day of parliament.

BSP deputy Georgi Svilenski was the only one to officially announce to BNT that the party received an invitation on Wednesday. So far, “There are people like this” has ranked left among the parts of the status quo. According to analysts, however, BSP votes for their government help minimize the role and support of the MRF and / or the GERB (despite the demands of Boyko Borissov’s party). on Wednesday that they will be in opposition).

Talks with “There are people like this” are expected to be only for politicians, in addition, that “Democratic Bulgaria” and “Stand up. BG! We are coming” have commented several times that they are not interested in places . For them, however, it will not matter who is the next nominee for Prime Minister Trifonov and the composition of the government.

On Wednesday, the name of former Deputy Prime Minister Meglena Kuneva was commented on as the next nomination among MPs by various political forces, but according to Dnevnik, she will not be nominated for Prime Minister, especially after the resignation of Nikolay Vassilev and the fact that they both have ministerial careers in the same governments. Other names discussed in the National Assembly were those proposed by Justice Minister Petar Iliev and Rumen Cholakov of the Millennium Club, whose name has been mentioned in the media since previous elections.

“There are people like that,” however, they maintained complete silence on the subject of who will be nominated for the next prime minister and ministers, as well as whether they will remain part of what was announced in their first draft government. According to Dnevnik, no new talks have taken place with any interim minister.

Government by 5 August or new elections

Government until August 5 with the mandate of “There are people like this” or new parliamentary elections – this is the main scenario in the official and unofficial comments of the MPs on the sidelines.

The calculation for August 5 came after the statement of the deputy chairman (re-elected chairman of the parliamentary group) of “There are people like this” Toshko Yordanov who or in 14-15 days there will be a cabinet with the first term, or go to the third parliamentary elections of the year.

He said that upon receiving a mandate, the party would propose a cabinet and hold talks with “other colleagues” on its policies and the direction in which it should push the country, although there were no differences between most parties. on judicial reform or prosecution or for the “humiliating pensions of our mothers and fathers”.

For judicial reform, the three so-called protest parties are similar in direction and big goals, but have differences (according to their ideas so far) in the details (for example, that on how to elect lead prosecutor), sequence and deadlines. From the rostrum, BSP leader Cornelia Ninova confirmed support for the closure of special courts and the special prosecutor’s office, the need for control over the chief prosecutor and said they are in favor of a new law on the Anti-Corruption Commission (KPCONPI) and as an opportunity for a thematic majority of the four parties on the subject, if they clarify their differences.

The first test for a possible majority was on Wednesday when Yes Miteva was elected speaker of parliament – apart from “There are people like this”, her candidacy was supported by “Democratic Bulgaria”, but without Hristo Ivanov (he abstained, and explained this as a gesture to show that dialogue is needed before proposals and voting), was also supported by “Stand up.BG! We are coming!” and by the MRF. Only “BSP for Bulgaria” offered an alternative candidate Christian Vigenin, and according to unofficial information – the goal is to move away and not to copy an agreement. The only one who voted against was Georgi Kadiev of the left-wing coalition, who also announced that talks should be held before that.

Office is possible

“There will be a government” – this is how MPs answered side-by-side questions about the scenario as much as possible, although no one was sure exactly what support would be chosen and if not through a quorum reduction if it the talks between the parties do not lead to understanding. “No one wants an election” was the other line repeated, though the reasons are different.

U Hristo Ivanov and Maya Manolova confirmed in the answers to Dnevnik’s questions that the expectations are that there will be a cabinet with the first term and work will be done in this direction.. According to Ivanov, however, the new government should not become a “runaway bride”, that is. to be elected, but then we wonder how to gather the majority for policies, and be clear that there are “people in government who can implement the priorities”.

For “Democratic Bulgaria” these are the judicial reform, the removal of Ivan Geshev, the lustration, as well as the removal of the country from the crisis caused by the so-called Sarai Model around the MRF. For “Stand up. BG! We’re coming!” priorities are increasing incomes and pensions, business support and judicial reform, and Maya Manolova has no doubt that “there are such people” will propose “smart and honest people as ministers “.

“Anything is possible,” interim Prime Minister Stefan Yanev commented in response to a question about whether there could be interim ministers in a regular cabinet.

The regular government was also asked by Romanian President Radev, who this time did not speak to deputies, but only to the media. He announced that the interim government has begun important changes and hopes that the regular cabinet, which will be elected by the National Assembly, will continue with the recovery of the state and the modernization of the country.

The three so-called the protest parties have 112 deputies and although this is not a majority of 121, the government can only be elected with their votes if the quorum in plenary is lower, ie if not all Members of Parliament initially registered. However, a stable majority requires the support of another party.

The GERB-UDF group said it would be a “strong, constructive and competent opposition”, citing chaos as its enemy. On behalf of the MRF parliamentary group, Mustafa Karadayi has shown that he will closely monitor the formation of the new government without participating in the process, but not whether this would support a possible government, although he said the the need was “historic”.

Only the BSP for Bulgaria announced that a conversation between statisticians was needed and expressed its willingness to form a cabinet with the participation of interim ministers if it receives a third term.

What will parliament do?

Parliament is likely to work non-stop in August, and the first task has traditionally been the adoption of new rules and changes to the texts, which now require proposals between first and second readings to have opinions from -NGOs.

Service ministers Yanaki Stoilov and Boyko Rashkov are expected to be heard early on Thursday due to a call for early termination of the term of Chief Prosecutor Ivan Geshev, as well as for wiretapping. The agenda should include the establishment of several temporary commissions – for audit, for the Rosenets case and others.

On the first working day, deputies submitted several bills – separately “BSP for Bulgaria” and “Stand up. BG! We are coming!” again offers a recalculation of pensions, “Democratic Bulgaria” – to close the special court and the office of the special prosecutor, “Stand up.BG! We are coming!” – the protection office of the Prosecutor General should be closed, “BSP for Bulgaria” – maternity BGN 650 in the second year, etc.

A boring day

The first working day of the 46th National Assembly was much calmer than the unrest surrounding the opening of parliament in April, and many of the day’s events gave the impression of deja vu – actions, people, voting were repeated. Representatives of “There are people like this” have returned to form a National Assembly. Mika Zaykova opened the meeting and regained sympathy with her speech (see video at the end), although it was assessed as not as strong as in April, so there were no witty remarks. such frequent. Deputies sat slightly differently from the previous parliament, such as “Stand up. BG! We’re coming!” stands next to GERB, and “Democratic Bulgaria” next to “There are people like this”.

The parliamentary leadership election passed without additional debates and with only one change – Rositsa Kirova became vice-president of the GERB. At the end of the sitting, the newly elected Speaker of the National Assembly Yes Miteva asked for a joint photo in front of the building, but the deputies of “There are people like this” and the GERB refused to join it . In the photo, however, there is Yes Miteva herself. “This is the will of every member of parliament. I personally did not participate because I do not want to be in the same picture with GERB,” Filip Stanev told Dnevnik from “There are people like this”, which this time was not a row front to Toshko Yordanov, who left an impression. “It is my personally conscious decision,” commented Ekaterina Zaharieva of GERB, confirming her absence from the photo.

Zlatina Zehirova and Ralitsa Ficheva also worked on the topic.

Read the most important things from the first plenary session of the 46th National Assembly here.

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