Sunday , December 5 2021

This is the worst year to invest in almost 50 years



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Ned Davis Research share markets in eight classes & # 39; major asset and no one performance record & # 39; more than 5% this year.

The market statistics are talking over each other in 2018 to describe the pain that is felt in all asset classes. respectable signature is expressed by & # 39; this way: things were not so bad from the presidency & # 39; Richard Nixon.

Ned Davis Research share markets in eight classes & # 39; major assets, from US and international stocks and bonds for products. And no one is on track to record return & # 39; more than 5% this year, a phenomenon observed for the last time in 1972, according to Ed CLISSOLD, strateġista in the company.

F & # 39; & # 39 terms, losses, investors have experienced something far worse. But guided by the range of & # 39; assets that fail to offer benefits, 2018 is starting to look historic.

Nothing works, neither stocks & # 39; high capitalization or low in the US, or international or emerging stocks, nor Treasury bonds, or the grade bonds & # 39; investment, or raw materials or real estate. Most of them incurring losses and non, are doing it with & # 39; & # 39 percentage, less than 5% profit.

It is something unique in history. Usually when fall & # 39; one sector, rise & # 39; another. F & # 39; half of the financial catastrophe of 2008, the Treasuries recovered. In 1974, commodities were strong place. In 2002, they were the REITs. In 2018, m & # 39; there is no sector to go. CLISSOLD has villain: the end of central bank stimulus.

"There has been market concerns about the asset price will manage the elimination of & # 39; ultra-flexible monetary policies," CLISSOLD, strategic head of the US in & # 39; Ned Davis Research, said in & # 39; note published last week.

During previous cases & # 39; market turmoil, "X & # 39; anywhere there was a bull market."

The Federal Reserve increased rates eight times since 2015, and policy makers in Europe and Japan are reducing their accommodative programs slowly. That, along with concerns for global growth, undermined the confidence of investors in all sectors.

This week, optimism about the temporary ceasefire in the trade war between the US and China proved to & # 39; short-lived, due to the fact that there has been a shift of the curve performance and decrease in overall growth. Tuesday, the S & P 500 index registered a decline of five & # 39; more than 3% this year.

B & # 39; everything, the index S & P 500 rose 1% per annum and grade debt & # 39; US investment lost 1.6%. Share & # 39; developing nations fell by 12%, while the total index of the US Treasury Treasury. Barclays of & # 39; long fallen by Bloomberg & # 39; 6.4%.

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