However, the victory & # 39; Hyde-Smith and size (relatively small) of & # 39; it make much sense when placed in the context of & # 39; this cycle & # 39; election. Here five takeaways for Mississippi race and why was the way they did.
1. The result looked like x & # 39; & # 39 waiting in; condition & # 39; blue wave
Mississippi is really a red state. President Donald Trump rebaħha with 18 points in 2016. So f & # 39; political environment in which the Democrats are to win the national vote with & # 39; high single digits, do not expect to win Democratic Senate seat in Mississippi. Rather, we expect that we are getting closer by Hillary Clinton in 2016. This is exactly what happened.
When you have used the results of other Senate races & # 39; this year and checked for expertise and past presidential vote, predicted Hyde Smith winning & # 39; about 7 percentage points. That's right around the margins ended up winning by.
2. Comments & # 39; Hyde-Smith probably iweġġgħuha
Back in the primary when Democrats and all Republicans mexxu against each other, the kkombinaw Republicans 58% of the vote to the Democrats 42% of the vote. In our iperpolarizzata political climate, you can expect to Hyde-Smith captures pretty much votes from other Republicans. Remember her Republican opponent in & # 39; one round was more conservative Chris McDaniel, whose voters are inclined to vote for Espy.
3. Trump helped Republicans in 2018 Senate races
It is not entirely clear whether the visit & # 39; Trump at the last minute to Mississippi made no difference. What helped Hyde-Smith though is that Trump is very good in the state.
4. The democratic hopes of the future are among educated voters in college at & # 39; non-rural areas
Mississippi was exactly the wrong place to see one in action. The state ranks 49th in the country for adults with a degree of & # 39; college.
Mississippi, though, ranks in the top 5 for the population living in & # 39; rural area.
5. Alabama victory & # 39; Doug Jones occurred in & # 39; unique circumstances
Many of the Democrats had hoped that the red deep state of & # 39; Mississippi end up like a deep red Alabama after Hyde-Smith got herself & # 39; hot water.
That's why we keep an eye on going until 2020. If his approval rating is now where, the Republicans will suffer, but do not lose at & # 39; red areas in depth. If you drop, Trump will not only bring defeat, can & # 39; Republicans bring down even in the Deep South.